Isfahan University of Medical Sciences

Science Communicator Platform

Stay connected! Follow us on X network (Twitter):
Share this content! On (X network) By
Bivariate Spatio-Temporal Shared Component Modeling: Mapping of Relative Death Risk Due to Colorectal and Stomach Cancers in Iran Provinces Publisher



Ahmadipanahmehrabadi VA1 ; Hassanzadeh A2 ; Mahaki B3
Authors
Show Affiliations
Authors Affiliations
  1. 1. Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
  2. 2. Department of Biostatistics, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
  3. 3. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran

Source: International Journal of Preventive Medicine Published:2019


Abstract

Background: Gastrointestinal cancers make for nearly half fatal cancers with colorectal and stomach cancers' being listed among the ten most common in Iran. This research aims to determine the spatial pattern and temporal trend of death risk due to colorectal and stomach cancers among provinces of Iran and estimate the effect of shared and specific components as surrogates of risk factors for the aforementioned cancers on changes of death due to the cancers over time and place. Methods: In this ecological study, the data regarding death causes in colorectal and stomach cancers during 2006-2011 were obtained from the death registration system of the Iranian Ministry of Health. The estimation of relative risk (RR) of death due to the target cancers was performed applying Bayesian spatiotemporal shared component (SC) model in OpenBUGS software. Results: North-Western provinces ranked first regarding stomach cancer RR of death (RR >1.75). Furthermore, some North-Western and central provinces had the highest RR of death due to colorectal cancer (RR >1.5). The SC surrogating the risk factor shared between both cancers had the most effect in Northern, North-Western and western provinces, and the least effect in Southern and South-Eastern ones. Conclusions: North and North-West of Iran found to be the high-risk area for death due to both stomach and colorectal cancers and South-East and South provinces shown to have the lowest RR. The obtained results can be illuminating to health resource allocation to the health policymakers. © 2019 Medknow Publications. All rights reserved.
Related Docs
View other Related Docs
1. Mapping of Stomach, Colorectal, and Bladder Cancers in Iran, 2004-2009: Applying Bayesian Polytomous Logit Model, International Journal of Preventive Medicine (2018)
2. Bivariate Spatiotemporal Disease Mapping of Cancer of the Breast and Cervix Uteri Among Iranian Women, Geospatial Health (2018)
3. Relative Risk of Gastrointestinal Cancers in Isfahan County, Iran, 2005-2010, Advanced Biomedical Research (2022)
4. Spatial Variation in Lung Cancer Mortality and Related Men–Women Disparities in Iran From 2011 to 2014, Cancer Management and Research (2020)
5. Spatio-Temporal Pattern of Two Common Cancers Among Iranian Women: An Adaptive Smoothing Model, Journal of B.U.ON. (2019)
6. Application of Bayesian Multilevel Space-Time Models to Study Relative Risk of Esophageal Cancer in Iran 2005-2007 at a County Level, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2015)
7. Trends of Breast Cancer Incidence in Iran During 2004-2008: A Bayesian Space-Time Model, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2014)
8. Prevalence of Stomach Cancer in Isfahan Province, Iran, The Gulf journal of oncology (2018)
Experts (# of related papers)
View all Related Experts
Noushin Mohammadifard (3)
Peyman Adibi (3)
Other Related Docs
9. Global, Regional, and National Burden of Colorectal Cancer and Its Risk Factors, 1990–2019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, The Lancet Gastroenterology and Hepatology (2022)
10. Epidemiology Characteristics and Trends of Incidence and Morphology of Stomach Cancer in Iran, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2015)
11. Area-To-Area Poisson Kriging Analysis of Mapping of County-Level Esophageal Cancer Incidence Rates in Iran, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2013)
12. Incidence, Prevalence, and Mortality Rate of Gastrointestinal Cancer in Isfahan, Iran: Application of the Miamod Method, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2016)
13. Investigating the Incidence of Prostate Cancer in Iran 2005-2008 Using Bayesian Spatial Ecological Regression Models, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2015)
14. Cancer Epidemiology and Trends in Sistan and Baluchestan Province, Iran, Medical Journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran (2015)
15. Rational, Design and Preliminary Results of a Cohort Study on Breast and Colorectal Cancer to Develop a Risk Assessment Model to Predict Future Cardiovascular Events. “Cardio Vascular Events in Breast and Colorectal Cancers (Cibc) Study”, Current Problems in Cardiology (2022)
16. Geographic Distribution of Cancer Cases in Isfahan Province/2006–2010, International Journal of Preventive Medicine (2015)
17. Results of Combination Chemotherapy and Radiation Therapy in Non-Metastatic Gastric Cancer in Yazd - Iran, Indian Journal of Cancer (2015)
18. Modeling the Trend Changes of Liver Cancer Mortality in the 6 Who Regions, The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology (2022)
19. Trends in Colorectal Cancer Incidence in Iran, Journal of Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences (2015)
20. Cancer Incidence in Iran in 2014: Results of the Iranian National Population-Based Cancer Registry, Cancer Epidemiology (2019)
21. Costs and Outcomes of Colorectal Cancer Screening Program in Isfahan, Iran, BMC Health Services Research (2023)
22. Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden, International Journal of Cancer (2021)
23. Survival Rate of Colorectal Cancer in Iran: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2019)
24. Suicide Mortality Risk in Kermanshah Province, Iran: A County-Level Spatial Analysis, Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health (2016)
25. Temporal Trends of Incidence of Colorectal Cancer in Isfahan, Iran, 2000-2011, International Journal of Preventive Medicine (2018)
26. Incidence of Colorectal Cancer in Iran: A Systematic Review and Meta‑Analysis, Journal of Research in Medical Sciences (2024)
27. Regional Disparities in Cancer Survival in Iran: Insight From a National Surveillance of Cancer Survival in Iran (Irancansurv), Cancer Epidemiology (2023)
28. Temporal Patterns of Cancer Burden in Asia, 1990–2019: A Systematic Examination for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study, The Lancet Regional Health - Southeast Asia (2024)
29. The Incidence and Mortality of Ovarian Cancer and Their Relationship With the Human Development Index in Asia, ecancermedicalscience (2016)
30. Survival Rate of Patients Suffering From Gastric Adenocarcinoma of Yazd City, Trauma Monthly (2011)
31. Geographic Risk of General and Abdominal Obesity and Related Determinants in Iranian Children and Adolescents: Caspian-Iv Study; [Risque Geographique Lie a L’Obesite Generale Et Abdominale Et Ses Facteurs Determinants Chez Les Enfants Et Les Adolescents Iraniens: L’Etude Caspian-Iv], Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal (2020)
32. Socio-Cognitve Factors Affectng Non-Partcipaton in the Colorectal Cancer Screening Program of Adults Aged 50 to 70 in Iran; [عوامل شناختى-اجتماعى موثر در عدم مشاركت در برنامه غربالگرى سرطان كولوركتال بزرگسالان 50تا 70ساله درايران], Iranian Journal of Health Education and Health Promotion (2024)
33. Plumb As a Cause of Kidney Cancer (Case Study: Iran From 2008-2010), Journal of Research in Medical Sciences (2015)
34. Burden of Colorectal Cancer and Its Risk Factors in the North Africa and Middle East (Name) Region, 1990–2019: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study, BMC Public Health (2024)
35. The Trend in Histological Changes and the Incidence of Esophagus Cancer in Iran (2003–2008), International Journal of Preventive Medicine (2016)
36. Incidence and Risk Factors of Pancreatic Cancer During 15 Years Follow-Up in the Golestan Cohort Study in Iran, PLoS ONE (2024)
37. Environmental Risk Factors Associated With Sporadic Colorectal Cancer in Isfahan, Iran, Middle East Journal of Cancer (2018)
38. Investigation of Clinicopathological Parameters in Emergency Colorectal Cancer Surgery: A Study of 67 Patients, Archives of Medical Science (2017)
39. Incidence of Colorectal Cancer and Adenomatous Polyps After a Two-Step Screening in Isfahan Province, Iran in 2018, Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer (2020)
40. Comparison of Bayesian Spatial Ecological Regression Models for Investigating the Incidence of Breast Cancer in Iran, 2005-2008, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention (2015)
41. Cancer Incidence and Prevalence in Isfahan: Application of Mortality Data to Estimates and Projects for the Period 2001-2015, International Journal of Preventive Medicine (2012)
42. Mapping Geographical Inequalities in Childhood Diarrhoeal Morbidity and Mortality in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries, 2000-17: Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017, The Lancet (2020)
43. Bladder Cancer in Iran: Geographical Distribution and Risk Factors, International Journal of Cancer Management (2017)
44. Spatio-Temporal Modeling for Nitrogen Oxides Pollutants in Tehran, 2014, Iranian Journal of Epidemiology (2018)