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Polygenic Risk Scores Have High Diagnostic Capacity in Ankylosing Spondylitis Publisher Pubmed



Li Z1 ; Wu X2 ; Leo PJ1 ; De Guzman E3 ; Akkoc N4 ; Breban M5, 6, 7 ; Macfarlane GJ8, 9 ; Mahmoudi M10 ; Marzoortega H11, 12 ; Anderson LK3 ; Wheeler L3 ; Chou CT13, 14 ; Harrison AA15 ; Stebbings S16 Show All Authors
Authors
  1. Li Z1
  2. Wu X2
  3. Leo PJ1
  4. De Guzman E3
  5. Akkoc N4
  6. Breban M5, 6, 7
  7. Macfarlane GJ8, 9
  8. Mahmoudi M10
  9. Marzoortega H11, 12
  10. Anderson LK3
  11. Wheeler L3
  12. Chou CT13, 14
  13. Harrison AA15
  14. Stebbings S16
  15. Jones GT8, 9
  16. Bang SY17
  17. Wang G18
  18. Jamshidi A10
  19. Farhadi E10
  20. Song J2
  21. Lin L2
  22. Li M2
  23. Wei JCC19, 20, 21
  24. Martin NG22
  25. Wright MJ23
  26. Lee M24
  27. Wang Y25
  28. Zhan J26
  29. Zhang JS27, 28
  30. Wang X29
  31. Jin ZB30
  32. Weisman MH31
  33. Gensler LS32
  34. Ward MM33
  35. Rahbar MH34
  36. Diekman L35
  37. Kim TH17
  38. Reveille JD35
  39. Wordsworth BP36
  40. Xu H2, 37, 38
  41. Brown MA27, 39
Show Affiliations
Authors Affiliations
  1. 1. Queensland University of Technology, Centre for Genomics and Personalised Health, School of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Health, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia
  2. 2. Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Shanghai Changzheng Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, Shanghai, China
  3. 3. Australian Translational Genomics Centre, Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia
  4. 4. Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, School of Medicine, Manisa Celal Bayar University, Manisa, Turkey
  5. 5. Umr 1173, Inserm, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin, Montigny-le-Bretonneux, France
  6. 6. Service de Rhumatologie, Hopital Ambroise Pare, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Boulogne-Billancourt, France
  7. 7. Laboratoire d'Excellence Inflamex, Universite Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cite, Paris, France
  8. 8. Epidemiology Group, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Foresterhill, Aberdeen, United Kingdom
  9. 9. Aberdeen Centre for Arthritis and Musculoskeletal Health, University of Aberdeen, Foresterhill, Aberdeen, United Kingdom
  10. 10. Rheumatology Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Tehran, Iran
  11. 11. Nihr Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals Nhs Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom
  12. 12. Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
  13. 13. Division of Allergy Immunology, Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
  14. 14. School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
  15. 15. Department of Medicine, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand
  16. 16. Department of Medicine, Dunedin School of Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
  17. 17. Hanyang University Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Hanyang University, Seoul, South Korea
  18. 18. University of Queensland Diamantina Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
  19. 19. Institute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
  20. 20. Department of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
  21. 21. Graduate Institute of Integrated Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
  22. 22. Qimr Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Herston, QLD, Australia
  23. 23. Queensland Brain Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
  24. 24. Population and Data Sciences, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States
  25. 25. State Key Laboratory of Optometry Ophthalmology, and Vision Science, Affiliated Eye Hospital, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
  26. 26. Institute for Glycomics, Griffith University, Nathan, QLD, Australia
  27. 27. Center for Precision Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
  28. 28. Institute of Life Sciences, Wenzhou University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
  29. 29. Rheumatology Department, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
  30. 30. Beijing Institute of Ophthalmology, Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences Key Lab, Beijing, Beijing, China
  31. 31. Department of Medicine/Rheumatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, United States
  32. 32. Division of Medicine/Rheumatology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
  33. 33. Intramural Research Program, National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States
  34. 34. Internal Medicine, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston John P, Katherine G McGovern Medical School, Houston, TX, United States
  35. 35. Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, McGovern Medical School, The University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, United States
  36. 36. Nihr Oxford Musculoskeletal Biomedical Research Unit, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxfordshire, Oxford, United Kingdom
  37. 37. School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University Beijing, Beijing, China
  38. 38. Peking-Tsinghua Center for Life Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
  39. 39. Nihr Biomedical Research Centre at Guy's, Saint Thomas' Nhs Foundation Trust and King's College London, London, United Kingdom

Source: Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases Published:2021


Abstract

Objective We sought to test the hypothesis that Polygenic Risk Scores (PRSs) have strong capacity to discriminate cases of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) from healthy controls and individuals in the community with chronic back pain. Methods PRSs were developed and validated in individuals of European and East Asian ethnicity, using data from genome-wide association studies in 15 585 AS cases and 20 452 controls. The discriminatory values of PRSs in these populations were compared with other widely used diagnostic tests, including C-reactive protein (CRP), HLA-B27 and sacroiliac MRI. Results In people of European descent, PRS had high discriminatory capacity with area under the curve (AUC) in receiver operator characteristic analysis of 0.924. This was significantly better than for HLA-B27 testing alone (AUC=0.869), MRI (AUC=0.885) or C-reactive protein (AUC=0.700). PRS developed and validated in individuals of East Asian descent performed similarly (AUC=0.948). Assuming a prior probability of AS of 10% such as in patients with chronic back pain under 45 years of age, compared with HLA-B27 testing alone, PRS provides higher positive values for 35% of patients and negative predictive values for 67.5% of patients. For PRS, in people of European descent, the maximum positive predictive value was 78.2% and negative predictive value was 100%, whereas for HLA-B27, these values were 51.9% and 97.9%, respectively. Conclusions PRS have higher discriminatory capacity for AS than CRP, sacroiliac MRI or HLA-B27 status alone. For optimal performance, PRS should be developed for use in the specific ethnic groups to which they are to be applied. © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.