Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation

Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation Publisher Pubmed

Hoffmann S^{1, 17} ; Hald T^{2, 19} ; Angulo F³ ; Hamzah WMB⁴ ; Bellinger D⁵ ; Black R⁶ ; De Silva N⁷ ; Dopfer D⁸ ; Havelaar A^{9, 18} ; Gibb H¹⁰ ; Kasuga F¹¹ ; Lake R¹² ; Rokni MB¹³ ; Speybroeck N¹⁴ Show All Authors

Hoffmann S^{1, 17}
Hald T^{2, 19}
Angulo F³
Hamzah WMB⁴
Bellinger D⁵
Black R⁶
De Silva N⁷
Dopfer D⁸
Havelaar A^{9, 18}
Gibb H¹⁰
Kasuga F¹¹
Lake R¹²
Rokni MB¹³
Speybroeck N¹⁴
Aspinall W¹⁵
Cooke R¹⁶
Devleesschauwer B^{9, 18}
Pires SM^{2, 19}

Show Affiliations

1. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Washington, DC, United States
2. National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark
3. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States
4. Disease Control Division, Malaysian Ministry of Health, Malaysia
5. Harvard School of Public Health, United States
6. The John Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, United States
7. Faculty of Medicine, University of Kelaniya, Sri Lanka
8. School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Wisconsin, Madison, United States
9. Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, United States
10. Gibb Epidemiology Consulting LLC, United States
11. National Institute of Health Sciences, Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare ESR Ltd., Japan
12. Institute of Environmental Science and Research Ltd., New Zealand
13. Teheran University of Medical Sciences, Iran
14. Universite catholique de Louvain, Belgium
15. Bristol University and Aspinall and Associates, United Kingdom
16. Resources for the Future, United States
17. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, United States
18. Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, United States
19. National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

Source: Risk Analysis Published:2016

Abstract

We live in an age that increasingly calls for national or regional management of global risks. This article discusses the contributions that expert elicitation can bring to efforts to manage global risks and identifies challenges faced in conducting expert elicitation at this scale. In doing so it draws on lessons learned from conducting an expert elicitation as part of the World Health Organizations (WHO) initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne disease; a study commissioned by the Foodborne Disease Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG). Expert elicitation is designed to fill gaps in data and research using structured, transparent methods. Such gaps are a significant challenge for global risk modeling. Experience with the WHO FERG expert elicitation shows that it is feasible to conduct an expert elicitation at a global scale, but that challenges do arise, including: defining an informative, yet feasible geographical structure for the elicitation; defining what constitutes expertise in a global setting; structuring international, multidisciplinary expert panels; and managing demands on experts' time in the elicitation. This article was written as part of a workshop, Methods for Research Synthesis: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach held at the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis on October 13, 2013. © 2016 Society for Risk Analysis.

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Style	Citing Format
MLA	Hoffmann S, et al.. "Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation." Risk Analysis, vol. 36, no. 2, 2016, pp. 191-202.
APA	Hoffmann S, Hald T, Angulo F, Hamzah WMB, Bellinger D, Black R, De Silva N, Dopfer D, Havelaar A, Gibb H, Kasuga F, Lake R, Rokni MB, Speybroeck N, Aspinall W, Cooke R, Devleesschauwer B, Pires SM (2016). Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation. Risk Analysis, 36(2), 191-202.
Chicago	Hoffmann S, Hald T, Angulo F, Hamzah WMB, Bellinger D, Black R, De Silva N, et al.. "Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation." Risk Analysis 36, no. 2 (2016): 191-202.
Harvard	Hoffmann S et al. (2016) 'Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation', Risk Analysis, 36(2), pp. 191-202.
Vancouver	Hoffmann S, Hald T, Angulo F, Hamzah WMB, Bellinger D, Black R, et al.. Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation. Risk Analysis. 2016;36(2):191-202.
BibTex	@article{ author = {Hoffmann S and Hald T and Angulo F and Hamzah WMB and Bellinger D and Black R and De Silva N and Dopfer D and Havelaar A and Gibb H and Kasuga F and Lake R and Rokni MB and Speybroeck N and Aspinall W and Cooke R and Devleesschauwer B and Pires SM}, title = {Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, volume = {36}, number = {2}, pages = {191-202}, year = {2016} }
RIS	TY - JOUR AU - Hoffmann S AU - Hald T AU - Angulo F AU - Hamzah WMB AU - Bellinger D AU - Black R AU - De Silva N AU - Dopfer D AU - Havelaar A AU - Gibb H AU - Kasuga F AU - Lake R AU - Rokni MB AU - Speybroeck N AU - Aspinall W AU - Cooke R AU - Devleesschauwer B AU - Pires SM TI - Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons From the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation JO - Risk Analysis VL - 36 IS - 2 SP - 191 EP - 202 PY - 2016 ER -

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