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Multidimensional Characterization of Global Food Supply From 1961 to 2013 Publisher Pubmed



Bentham J1 ; Singh GM2 ; Danaei G3, 4 ; Green R5, 6 ; Lin JK7, 8 ; Stevens GA9 ; Farzadfar F10 ; Bennett JE11, 12, 13 ; Di Cesare M14 ; Dangour AD5, 6 ; Ezzati M11, 12, 13, 15
Authors
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Authors Affiliations
  1. 1. School of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Kent, Canterbury, United Kingdom
  2. 2. Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States
  3. 3. Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
  4. 4. Department of Epidemiology, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
  5. 5. Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
  6. 6. Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
  7. 7. Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States
  8. 8. Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States
  9. 9. Independent researcher, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
  10. 10. Non-Communicable Diseases Research Centre, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
  11. 11. School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
  12. 12. MRC Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
  13. 13. WHO Collaborating Centre on NCD Surveillance and Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
  14. 14. Department of Natural Sciences, Middlesex University, London, United Kingdom
  15. 15. Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Source: Nature Food Published:2020


Abstract

Food systems are increasingly globalized and interdependent, and diets around the world are changing. Characterization of national food supplies and how they have changed can inform food policies that ensure national food security, support access to healthy diets and enhance environmental sustainability. Here we analysed data for 171 countries on the availability of 18 food groups from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization to identify and track multidimensional food supply patterns from 1961 to 2013. Four predominant food-group combinations were identified that explained almost 90% of the cross-country variance in food supply: animal source and sugar, vegetable, starchy root and fruit, and seafood and oilcrops. South Korea, China and Taiwan experienced the largest changes in food supply over the past five decades, with animal source foods and sugar, vegetables and seafood and oilcrops all becoming more abundant components of the food supply. In contrast, in many Western countries the supply of animal source foods and sugar declined. Meanwhile, there was remarkably little change in the food supply in countries in the sub-Saharan Africa region. These changes led to a partial global convergence in the national supply of animal source foods and sugar, and a divergence in those of vegetables and of seafood and oilcrops. Our analysis generated a novel characterization of food supply that highlights the interdependence of multiple food types in national food systems. A better understanding of how these patterns have evolved and will continue to change is needed to support the delivery of healthy and sustainable food system policies. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
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