Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden

Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden Publisher Pubmed

Roshandel G^{1, 2} ; Ferlay J³ ; Ghanbarimotlagh A⁴ ; Partovipour E² ; Salavati F² ; Aryan K¹ ; Mohammadi G⁵ ; Khoshaabi M² ; Sadjadi A⁶ ; Davanlou M⁷ ; Asgari F² ; Abadi H⁸ ; Aghaei A⁹ ; Ahmaditabatabaei SV¹⁰ Show All Authors

Roshandel G^{1, 2}
Ferlay J³
Ghanbarimotlagh A⁴
Partovipour E²
Salavati F²
Aryan K¹
Mohammadi G⁵
Khoshaabi M²
Sadjadi A⁶
Davanlou M⁷
Asgari F²
Abadi H⁸
Aghaei A⁹
Ahmaditabatabaei SV¹⁰
Alizadehbarzian K¹¹
Asgari A¹²
Asgari N¹³
Azami S¹⁴
Cheraghi M¹⁵
Enferadi F¹⁶
Eslaminasab M¹⁷
Fakhery J¹⁸
Farahani M¹⁹
Farrokhzad S²⁰
Fateh M²¹
Ghasemi A²²
Ghasemikebria F¹
Gholami H²³
Golpazir A²⁴
Hasanpourheidari S¹
Hazar N²⁵
Hoseinihoshyar H²⁶
Izadi M²⁷
Jahantigh M²⁸
Jalilvand A²⁹
Jazayeri SM³⁰
Kazemzadeh Y³¹
Khajavi M³²
Khalednejad M³³
Khanloghi M³⁴
Kooshki M³⁵
Madani A³⁶
Mirheidari M³⁷
Mohammadifar H³⁸
Moinfar Z³⁹
Mojtahedzadeh Y⁴⁰
Morsali A⁴¹
Motidostkomleh R⁴²
Mousavi T⁴³
Narooei M⁴⁴
Nasiri M⁴⁵
Niksiar S⁴⁶
Pabaghi M⁴⁷
Pirnejad H⁴⁸
Pournajaf A⁴⁹
Pourshahi G⁵⁰
Rahnama A⁵¹
Rashidpoor B⁵²
Ravankhah Z⁵³
Rezaei K⁵⁴
Rezaianzadeh A⁵⁵
Sadeghi G⁵⁶
Salehifar M⁵⁷
Shahdadi A⁵⁸
Shahi M⁵⁹
Sharifimoghaddam F⁶⁰
Sherafati R⁶¹
Soleimani A⁶²
Soltanyhojatabad M⁶³
Somi MH⁶⁴
Yadolahi S⁶⁵
Yaghoubiashrafi M⁶⁶
Zareiyan A⁶⁷
Poustchi H⁶
Zendehdel K⁶⁸
Ostovar A⁶⁹
Janbabaei G⁷⁰
Raeisi A⁷¹
Weiderpass E⁷²
Malekzadeh R⁶
Bray F³

Source: International Journal of Cancer Published:2021

Abstract

Policymakers require estimates of the future number of cancer patients in order to allocate finite resources to cancer prevention, treatment and palliative care. We examine recent cancer incidence trends in Iran and present predicted incidence rates and new cases for the entire country for the year 2025. We developed a method for approximating population-based incidence from the pathology-based data series available nationally for the years 2008 to 2013, and augmented this with data from the Iranian National Population-based Cancer Registry (INPCR) for the years 2014 to 2016. We fitted time-linear age-period models to the recent incidence trends to quantify the future cancer incidence burden to the year 2025, delineating the contribution of changes due to risk and those due to demographic change. The number of new cancer cases is predicted to increase in Iran from 112 000 recorded cases in 2016 to an estimated 160 000 in 2025, a 42.6% increase, of which 13.9% and 28.7% were attributed to changes in risk and population structure, respectively. In terms of specific cancers, the greatest increases in cases are predicted for thyroid (113.8%), prostate (66.7%), female breast (63.0%) and colorectal cancer (54.1%). Breast, colorectal and stomach cancers were the most common cancers in Iran in 2016 and are predicted to remain the leading cancers nationally in 2025. The increasing trends in incidence of most common cancers in Iran reinforce the need for the tailored design and implementation of effective national cancer control programs across the country. © 2021 Union for International Cancer Control.

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Style	Citing Format
MLA	Roshandel G, et al.. "Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden." International Journal of Cancer, vol. 149, no. 3, 2021, pp. 594-605.
APA	Roshandel G, Ferlay J, Ghanbarimotlagh A, Partovipour E, Salavati F, Aryan K, Mohammadi G, Khoshaabi M, Sadjadi A, Davanlou M, Asgari F, Abadi H, Aghaei A, Ahmaditabatabaei SV, Alizadehbarzian K, Asgari A, Asgari N, Azami S, Cheraghi M, ... Bray F (2021). Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden. International Journal of Cancer, 149(3), 594-605.
Chicago	Roshandel G, Ferlay J, Ghanbarimotlagh A, Partovipour E, Salavati F, Aryan K, Mohammadi G, et al.. "Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden." International Journal of Cancer 149, no. 3 (2021): 594-605.
Harvard	Roshandel G et al. (2021) 'Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden', International Journal of Cancer, 149(3), pp. 594-605.
Vancouver	Roshandel G, Ferlay J, Ghanbarimotlagh A, Partovipour E, Salavati F, Aryan K, et al.. Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden. International Journal of Cancer. 2021;149(3):594-605.
BibTex	@article{ author = {Roshandel G and Ferlay J and Ghanbarimotlagh A and Partovipour E and Salavati F and Aryan K and Mohammadi G and Khoshaabi M and Sadjadi A and Davanlou M and Asgari F and Abadi H and Aghaei A and Ahmaditabatabaei SV and Alizadehbarzian K and Asgari A and Asgari N and Azami S and Cheraghi M and Enferadi F and Eslaminasab M and Fakhery J and Farahani M and Farrokhzad S and Fateh M and Ghasemi A and Ghasemikebria F and Gholami H and Golpazir A and Hasanpourheidari S and Hazar N and Hoseinihoshyar H and Izadi M and Jahantigh M and Jalilvand A and Jazayeri SM and Kazemzadeh Y and Khajavi M and Khalednejad M and Khanloghi M and Kooshki M and Madani A and Mirheidari M and Mohammadifar H and Moinfar Z and Mojtahedzadeh Y and Morsali A and Motidostkomleh R and Mousavi T and Narooei M and Nasiri M and Niksiar S and Pabaghi M and Pirnejad H and Pournajaf A and Pourshahi G and Rahnama A and Rashidpoor B and Ravankhah Z and Rezaei K and Rezaianzadeh A and Sadeghi G and Salehifar M and Shahdadi A and Shahi M and Sharifimoghaddam F and Sherafati R and Soleimani A and Soltanyhojatabad M and Somi MH and Yadolahi S and Yaghoubiashrafi M and Zareiyan A and Poustchi H and Zendehdel K and Ostovar A and Janbabaei G and Raeisi A and Weiderpass E and Malekzadeh R and Bray F}, title = {Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden}, journal = {International Journal of Cancer}, volume = {149}, number = {3}, pages = {594-605}, year = {2021} }
RIS	TY - JOUR AU - Roshandel G AU - Ferlay J AU - Ghanbarimotlagh A AU - Partovipour E AU - Salavati F AU - Aryan K AU - Mohammadi G AU - Khoshaabi M AU - Sadjadi A AU - Davanlou M AU - Asgari F AU - Abadi H AU - Aghaei A AU - Ahmaditabatabaei SV AU - Alizadehbarzian K AU - Asgari A AU - Asgari N AU - Azami S AU - Cheraghi M AU - Enferadi F AU - Eslaminasab M AU - Fakhery J AU - Farahani M AU - Farrokhzad S AU - Fateh M AU - Ghasemi A AU - Ghasemikebria F AU - Gholami H AU - Golpazir A AU - Hasanpourheidari S AU - Hazar N AU - Hoseinihoshyar H AU - Izadi M AU - Jahantigh M AU - Jalilvand A AU - Jazayeri SM AU - Kazemzadeh Y AU - Khajavi M AU - Khalednejad M AU - Khanloghi M AU - Kooshki M AU - Madani A AU - Mirheidari M AU - Mohammadifar H AU - Moinfar Z AU - Mojtahedzadeh Y AU - Morsali A AU - Motidostkomleh R AU - Mousavi T AU - Narooei M AU - Nasiri M AU - Niksiar S AU - Pabaghi M AU - Pirnejad H AU - Pournajaf A AU - Pourshahi G AU - Rahnama A AU - Rashidpoor B AU - Ravankhah Z AU - Rezaei K AU - Rezaianzadeh A AU - Sadeghi G AU - Salehifar M AU - Shahdadi A AU - Shahi M AU - Sharifimoghaddam F AU - Sherafati R AU - Soleimani A AU - Soltanyhojatabad M AU - Somi MH AU - Yadolahi S AU - Yaghoubiashrafi M AU - Zareiyan A AU - Poustchi H AU - Zendehdel K AU - Ostovar A AU - Janbabaei G AU - Raeisi A AU - Weiderpass E AU - Malekzadeh R AU - Bray F TI - Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden JO - International Journal of Cancer VL - 149 IS - 3 SP - 594 EP - 605 PY - 2021 ER -

Style

Citing Format

MLA

Roshandel G, et al.. "Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden." International Journal of Cancer, vol. 149, no. 3, 2021, pp. 594-605.

APA

Roshandel G, Ferlay J, Ghanbarimotlagh A, Partovipour E, Salavati F, Aryan K, Mohammadi G, Khoshaabi M, Sadjadi A, Davanlou M, Asgari F, Abadi H, Aghaei A, Ahmaditabatabaei SV, Alizadehbarzian K, Asgari A, Asgari N, Azami S, Cheraghi M, ... Bray F (2021). Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden. International Journal of Cancer, 149(3), 594-605.

Chicago

Roshandel G, Ferlay J, Ghanbarimotlagh A, Partovipour E, Salavati F, Aryan K, Mohammadi G, et al.. "Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden." International Journal of Cancer 149, no. 3 (2021): 594-605.

Harvard

Roshandel G et al. (2021) 'Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden', International Journal of Cancer, 149(3), pp. 594-605.

Vancouver

Roshandel G, Ferlay J, Ghanbarimotlagh A, Partovipour E, Salavati F, Aryan K, et al.. Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden. International Journal of Cancer. 2021;149(3):594-605.

BibTex

@article{ author = {Roshandel G and Ferlay J and Ghanbarimotlagh A and Partovipour E and Salavati F and Aryan K and Mohammadi G and Khoshaabi M and Sadjadi A and Davanlou M and Asgari F and Abadi H and Aghaei A and Ahmaditabatabaei SV and Alizadehbarzian K and Asgari A and Asgari N and Azami S and Cheraghi M and Enferadi F and Eslaminasab M and Fakhery J and Farahani M and Farrokhzad S and Fateh M and Ghasemi A and Ghasemikebria F and Gholami H and Golpazir A and Hasanpourheidari S and Hazar N and Hoseinihoshyar H and Izadi M and Jahantigh M and Jalilvand A and Jazayeri SM and Kazemzadeh Y and Khajavi M and Khalednejad M and Khanloghi M and Kooshki M and Madani A and Mirheidari M and Mohammadifar H and Moinfar Z and Mojtahedzadeh Y and Morsali A and Motidostkomleh R and Mousavi T and Narooei M and Nasiri M and Niksiar S and Pabaghi M and Pirnejad H and Pournajaf A and Pourshahi G and Rahnama A and Rashidpoor B and Ravankhah Z and Rezaei K and Rezaianzadeh A and Sadeghi G and Salehifar M and Shahdadi A and Shahi M and Sharifimoghaddam F and Sherafati R and Soleimani A and Soltanyhojatabad M and Somi MH and Yadolahi S and Yaghoubiashrafi M and Zareiyan A and Poustchi H and Zendehdel K and Ostovar A and Janbabaei G and Raeisi A and Weiderpass E and Malekzadeh R and Bray F}, title = {Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden}, journal = {International Journal of Cancer}, volume = {149}, number = {3}, pages = {594-605}, year = {2021} }

RIS

TY - JOUR
AU - Roshandel G
AU - Ferlay J
AU - Ghanbarimotlagh A
AU - Partovipour E
AU - Salavati F
AU - Aryan K
AU - Mohammadi G
AU - Khoshaabi M
AU - Sadjadi A
AU - Davanlou M
AU - Asgari F
AU - Abadi H
AU - Aghaei A
AU - Ahmaditabatabaei SV
AU - Alizadehbarzian K
AU - Asgari A
AU - Asgari N
AU - Azami S
AU - Cheraghi M
AU - Enferadi F
AU - Eslaminasab M
AU - Fakhery J
AU - Farahani M
AU - Farrokhzad S
AU - Fateh M
AU - Ghasemi A
AU - Ghasemikebria F
AU - Gholami H
AU - Golpazir A
AU - Hasanpourheidari S
AU - Hazar N
AU - Hoseinihoshyar H
AU - Izadi M
AU - Jahantigh M
AU - Jalilvand A
AU - Jazayeri SM
AU - Kazemzadeh Y
AU - Khajavi M
AU - Khalednejad M
AU - Khanloghi M
AU - Kooshki M
AU - Madani A
AU - Mirheidari M
AU - Mohammadifar H
AU - Moinfar Z
AU - Mojtahedzadeh Y
AU - Morsali A
AU - Motidostkomleh R
AU - Mousavi T
AU - Narooei M
AU - Nasiri M
AU - Niksiar S
AU - Pabaghi M
AU - Pirnejad H
AU - Pournajaf A
AU - Pourshahi G
AU - Rahnama A
AU - Rashidpoor B
AU - Ravankhah Z
AU - Rezaei K
AU - Rezaianzadeh A
AU - Sadeghi G
AU - Salehifar M
AU - Shahdadi A
AU - Shahi M
AU - Sharifimoghaddam F
AU - Sherafati R
AU - Soleimani A
AU - Soltanyhojatabad M
AU - Somi MH
AU - Yadolahi S
AU - Yaghoubiashrafi M
AU - Zareiyan A
AU - Poustchi H
AU - Zendehdel K
AU - Ostovar A
AU - Janbabaei G
AU - Raeisi A
AU - Weiderpass E
AU - Malekzadeh R
AU - Bray F
TI - Cancer in Iran 2008 to 2025: Recent Incidence Trends and Short-Term Predictions of the Future Burden
JO - International Journal of Cancer
VL - 149
IS - 3
SP - 594
EP - 605
PY - 2021
ER -

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